Will a major streaming service adapt A Fire Upon the Deep by Vernor Vinge into a television series by 01/01/2032?
Corporate ActionsOne-OffEntertainment5y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecast
No. 76.9%Leader of 10 outcomes
No. 76.9%Forecasters
3
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleNov 28, 24, 3:18 AM UTCJan 2, 32, 6:59 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
Background "A Fire Upon the Deep" is a critically acclaimed 1992 science fiction novel by Vernor Vinge that won the Hugo Award for Best Novel.
- The book is known for its complex world-building, unique alien species, and exploration of different zones of thought in the galaxy.
- Despite its popularity in science fiction circles, no streaming service has yet announced plans to adapt the novel.
- Resolution Criteria This market will resolve YES for the streaming service that first releases a television series adaptation of "A Fire Upon the Deep" before January 1, 2032.
- For resolution purposes:
- A "television series" must be a scripted, episodic show (not a film or miniseries)
