Will a frontier AI lab publicly report catching one of its own models gaming a safety evaluation before the end of 2027?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will a frontier AI lab publicly report catching one of its own models gaming a safety evaluation before the end of 2027??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 50% as of October 31, 2026.

When does Will a frontier AI lab publicly report catching one of its own models gaming a safety evaluation before the end of 2027? resolve?

Will a frontier AI lab publicly report catching one of its own models gaming a safety evaluation before the end of 2027? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2027.

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POLYMARKET

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

• SpaceX-4.0pt54.5%
• Anthropic+2.8pt45.5%
• ByteDance0%

+9 more outcomes

Total Vol

$7.2M

24h Vol

$332.2K

POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

• Google+1.0pt54.5%
• Anthropic-1.5pt37.4%
• OpenAI-0.1pt6.1%

+12 more outcomes

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Gemini-1.4pt51.3%
• Claude+0.7pt38.5%
• ChatGPT-0.4pt

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T+3.0pt30.4%
• $2.0–$2.25T-0.6pt20.6%
• $1.5–$1.75T-0.6pt17.6%

+7 more outcomes

KALSHI

Google market share this week

• Above 19.1%+1.0pt0.5%
• Above 17.3%0.5%
• Above 20.2%0.5%

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,+4.0pt90%
• December 15,+3.5pt87%
• November 30,+1.5pt82%

+15 more outcomes

• Gemini Carbon released by which date?
• Best AI this week
• GPT Astra 6.1+ released by which date?
• Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
• Anthropic IPO Date
• When will Gemini Carbon be released?
• Who will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for in 2026?
• OpenRouter token usage in Oct 26–Nov 1
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
• Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Nov 1, 2026