Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Other 20.3%Leader of 17 outcomes
Other 20.3%Forecasters
16
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleAug 4, 23, 12:33 AM UTCJan 1, 28, 5:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will humans set foot on the Moon again before an unmanned SpaceX Starship lands on Mars?
Manifold MarketsWhich of the following countries will the next astronaut to set foot on the moon represent?
Manifold MarketsWhen will humans set foot on the moon again?
Manifold MarketsWill the next person to set foot on the moon be a woman?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketWhich Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
PolymarketRules
Resolves to the full name of the first woman to step onto the lunar surface.
- If multiple women do this simultaneously, it resolves to all of them equally.
