Which will be the first year the USA has less than 30k traffic deaths? (42k in 2024)

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Which will be the first year the USA has less than 30k traffic deaths? (42k in 2024)?

Manifold Markets prices It won't happen even through end of 2029 at 63.8% as of October 24, 2026.

When does Which will be the first year the USA has less than 30k traffic deaths? (42k in 2024) resolve?

Which will be the first year the USA has less than 30k traffic deaths? (42k in 2024) is scheduled to resolve on February 2, 2030.

How is Which will be the first year the USA has less than 30k traffic deaths? (42k in 2024) settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: If you think it won't happen, even including 2029, then bet the option for it not happening.

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POLYMARKET

Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by which date?

• June 30,-9.0pt77%
• March 31,-2.5pt52%

Total Vol

$89K

24h Vol

$8.2K

POLYMARKET

New pandemic in 2026?

• No+0.7pt97%
• Yes-0.7pt3%

Total Vol

$1.3M

24h Vol

$2.5K

POLYMARKET

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

• No+0.1pt98%
• Yes-0.1pt2%

Total Vol

$18.7M

24h Vol

$2.4K

POLYMARKET

New pandemic before 2028?

• No+1.5pt89%
• Yes-1.5pt11%

Total Vol

$25.7K

24h Vol

$2.2K

KALSHI

Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?

• Above 14k99.5%
• Above 12k+4.0pt96%
• Above 8k99%

POLYMARKET

FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?

• December 31,64%
• September-3.5pt27%
• June14%

Total Vol

$216.7K

• Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
• How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?
• Measles cases in 2026?
• Measles cases in U.S. by October 31?
• Pandemic in 2026?
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• Will a pneumonic plague case be reported in the U.S. this year?
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