Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNick Bostrom 85.2%Leader of 37 outcomes
Forecasters
9
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleOct 2, 25, 7:35 AM UTCDec 30, 99, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
"We get ASI" = 1 January of the year before the first of the questions in this series to resolve YES (e.g. if https://manifold.markets/RemNi/will-we-get-asi-before-2034 resolves NO and https://manifold.markets/RemNi/will-we-get-asi-before-2035 resolves YES, this question resolves based on who is alive on 1 Jan 2024).
