Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastIndia 75%Leader of 10 outcomes
Forecasters
22
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleMar 15, 24, 11:05 AM UTCDec 31, 50, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will any UN country change its official name before the year 2030?
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Manifold MarketsWill any UN country change its capital before 2028?
KalshiWill ICE change its name in 2026?
KalshiRules
resolves YES:
- if the international name in the english wikipedia article of the country remains changed for more than one week and this change is the result of a government/legislative decision of said country.
- if a successor country with a different name takes over all international contracts of its predecessor (example: Russia as successor of the Soviet Union)
- resolves NO:
- all non-resolved options by end of 2050.
- A country that ceases to exist is resolved as N/A
