When will Starship first attempt propellant transfer from one ship to another in orbit?
One-OffSpace3y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Before 2028-07-01 85.1%Leader of 21 outcomes
Before 2028-07-01 85.1%Forecasters
63
Question type
multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 16 hours ago
StaleFeb 10, 24, 8:03 PM UTCJan 1, 30, 10:59 PM UTC
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In Artemis program SpaceX Starship is going to be used as Human Landing System (HLS), landing on the Moon with Artemis astronauts.
- When launched from land, Starship doesn't have enough propellant to get to Moon orbit, let alone Moon surface.
- To solve this problem, Starship will have to be refueled in orbit.
- On Starship 3rd flight SpaceX plans to demonstrate propellant transfer within one spacecraft.
- So far there have been no announcement of the first attempt of propellant transfer between two ships.
- For this market to resolve positively, the following should happen: