What conspiracy theories will be proven true by 2100? (Mega Market)
One-OffSociety & CulturePoliticsCrime & Justice
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Dream faked the Manhunt videos 95.4%Leader of 194 outcomes
Dream faked the Manhunt videos 95.4%Forecasters
276
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleJan 30, 24, 3:04 PM UTCJan 2, 00, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
What conspiracy theories will be proven correct by 2100.
- The conspiracy theory must have been true in 2024 so if the US government gets aliens after 2024 but didn't have them before it doesn't count.
- Please add your own conspiracy theories.
- I will be lenient in what is considered a conspiracy theory.
- If something is widely considered to be true in 2100 it will count as a yes resolution but to resolve beforehand it must be definitively proven and verified by multiple news sources. anything not proven true by 2100 will resolve no.
- Feel free to ask clarifying questions.
