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  3. What conspiracy theories will be proven true by 2100? (Mega Market)
What conspiracy theories will be proven true by 2100? (Mega Market)

What conspiracy theories will be proven true by 2100? (Mega Market)

Society & CulturePoliticsCrime & Justice73y
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsNo KYC
Current community forecast
Yeti is real or similar creature
Yeti is real or similar creature 2%
Leader of 200 outcomes
Forecasters

268

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated yesterday

Stale
Jan 30, 24, 3:04 PMJan 2, 00, 4:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yeti is real or similar creature2%

Rules

What conspiracy theories will be proven correct by 2100.

Manifold Markets
  • The conspiracy theory must have been true in 2024 so if the US government gets aliens after 2024 but didn't have them before it doesn't count.
  • Please add your own conspiracy theories.
  • I will be lenient in what is considered a conspiracy theory.
  • If something is widely considered to be true in 2100 it will count as a yes resolution but to resolve beforehand it must be definitively proven and verified by multiple news sources. anything not proven true by 2100 will resolve no.
  • Feel free to ask clarifying questions.

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Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?

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Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$65,924.26+0.23%SolanaSOL$74.01+0.94%EthereumETH$1,776.31-0.07%AvalancheAVAX$6.96+2.41%DogecoinDOGE$0.0872+0.30%

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Rules

What conspiracy theories will be proven correct by 2100.

Manifold Markets
  • The conspiracy theory must have been true in 2024 so if the US government gets aliens after 2024 but didn't have them before it doesn't count.
  • Please add your own conspiracy theories.
  • I will be lenient in what is considered a conspiracy theory.
  • If something is widely considered to be true in 2100 it will count as a yes resolution but to resolve beforehand it must be definitively proven and verified by multiple news sources. anything not proven true by 2100 will resolve no.
  • Feel free to ask clarifying questions.