Twitter / x.com blocked in the EU or Europe? Multimarket for dates
ChainlinkCorporate ActionsOne-OffEuropeRegulation14yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 10:10 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastJuly 1 2033 55.7%Leader of 26 outcomes
Forecasters
15
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleMar 9, 25, 5:13 PM UTCJul 1, 41, 6:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
Each time period will resolve to YES if the social network X, formerly known as Twitter, is blocked on the day in question from European Union states because of a court order or a deliberate decision by the company or other reason implying that people with power have achieved an intended goal of having it not be available there.
- If twitter goes out of business entirely then remaining claims will NA (since this is based on whether x.com will take a role as the major media source of a cultural group and how it spreads its influence).
- Clarifications:
- If the application is inaccessible from a couple of EU countries it does not count, it has to be the entire EU or the vast majority of it.
- If the application becomes inaccessible from the whole world due to a decision or a legal action (e.g. bankruptcy) it does count.
- Inaccessibility due to technical issues does not count.
