Twitter / x.com blocked in the EU or Europe? Multimarket for dates
ChainlinkCorporate ActionsOne-OffEuropeRegulation14yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 21, 2026, 2:00 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current community forecastJuly 1 2025 0%Leader of 26 outcomes
Forecasters
15
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated yesterday
StaleMar 9, 25, 5:13 PMJul 1, 41, 6:59 AM
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Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
July 1 20265%
Volume trend
$409Jul 202d of dataJul 21
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Each time period will resolve to YES if the social network X, formerly known as Twitter, is blocked on the day in question from European Union states because of a court order or a deliberate decision by the company or other reason implying that people with power have achieved an intended goal of having it not be available there.
- If twitter goes out of business entirely then remaining claims will NA (since this is based on whether x.com will take a role as the major media source of a cultural group and how it spreads its influence).
- Clarifications:
- If the application is inaccessible from a couple of EU countries it does not count, it has to be the entire EU or the vast majority of it.
- If the application becomes inaccessible from the whole world due to a decision or a legal action (e.g. bankruptcy) it does count.
- Inaccessibility due to technical issues does not count.