Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastSomeone gets arrested 100%Leader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters
9
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleApr 30, 26, 10:50 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:49 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
“Every Bay Area House Party” house party in London 2 Prop Bets (add answers!)
Manifold MarketsHow will the situation in Russia change till the end of 2026 [PROP BETS/ADD ANSWERS]
Manifold MarketsLuigi Mangione Pre-Trial Prop Bets (Add Answers)
Manifold MarketsLuigi Mangione NY Pre-trial proceedings Prop Bets (Add Answers)
Manifold MarketsWhat countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?
KalshiWill the percentage of Americans identifying as Christian drop below 20% before 2100?
Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
