Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 12, 2026, 6:29 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current community forecastNo 69.9%
Forecasters
7
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 16 days ago
StaleDec 12, 24, 3:21 PMDec 31, 27, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes30%
Volume trend
$150Jul 112d of dataJul 12
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Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.