Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNone of these listed before Dec 31st 2026 88.5%+10.2ptLeader of 8 outcomes
Forecasters
5
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+10.2 pts
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Dec 8, 25, 4:26 PMDec 8, 26, 4:21 PM
Trends
Rules
Which of these companies will be the first to announce a formal event constituting default (a formal restructuring process under Chapter 11 of the U.S. Bankruptcy Code (or equivalent bankruptcy/restructuring filing in its primary jurisdiction) OR has entered technical default on its debt obligations (missed interest/principal payment, covenant breach triggering acceleration, or cross-default) as publicly announced by the company or its creditors
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Next mining company to announce default?
- Manifold Markets prices None of these listed before Dec 31st 2026 at 89% as of September 4, 2026.
- When does Next mining company to announce default resolve?
- Next mining company to announce default is scheduled to resolve on December 8, 2026.
- How is Next mining company to announce default settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Which of these companies will be the first to announce a formal event constituting default (a formal restructuring process under Chapter 11 of the U.S. Bankruptcy Code (or equivalent bankruptcy/restructuring filing in its primary jurisdiction) OR has entered technical default on its debt obligations (missed interest/principal payment, covenant breach triggering acceleration, or cross-default) as publicly announced by the company or its creditors
