What are the current odds for Muse Wonder 1.1+ (Meta) release date?

Manifold Markets prices Before 2027-02-16 at 92.2% as of November 1, 2026.

When does Muse Wonder 1.1+ (Meta) release date resolve?

Muse Wonder 1.1+ (Meta) release date is scheduled to resolve on February 16, 2027.

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Muse Wonder 1.1+ (Meta) release date

One-OffAI Tech3mo

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibrated

Current community forecast

Before 2027-02-16 92.2%

Leader of 7 outcomes

Forecasters

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

7d Change

+42.2 pts

Market data

Updated 5 hours ago

Stale

Oct 28, 26, 3:52 PM UTCFeb 16, 27, 4:59 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

The '+' means any version at or above 1.1 counts: if Meta skips 1.1 and releases Muse Wonder 1.2 or Muse Wonder 2, that still counts for the purpose of this market.

Minor changes to the name, or other names for a model generally expected to be called Muse Wonder 1.1, will also count.
The model must be accessible without individual vetting or invitation — free or paid, via API or product.
Open, non-selective waitlists count.
Closed betas, invite-only access, researcher programs, A/B tests, and anonymous benchmark appearances do not.
Country-level bans do not prevent resolution.

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Muse Wonder 1.1+ (Meta) release date

Muse Wonder 1.1+ (Meta) release date

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