What are the current odds for Maduro back in power before 2030??

Manifold Markets prices No at 94% as of October 27, 2026.

When does Maduro back in power before 2030? resolve?

Maduro back in power before 2030? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2029.

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Consensus of credible reporting.

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

No 94%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 17 hours ago

Stale

Jan 4, 26, 2:07 AM UTCDec 31, 29, 11:59 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

Consensus of credible reporting.

Here's a bunch of ai slop for some legal mumbo jumbo:
Resolves YES if a domestic cat knocks over a glass of water within two meters of me while I am wearing socks.
Resolves NO if the same event occurs while I am barefoot.
Resolves to 50 percent if I am unsure whether socks were involved.
If a previously unknown moon is confirmed to orbit Earth before market close, resolves to the number of letters in the moon’s official name multiplied by 3 percent, capped at 97 percent.