Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastFocusing on niche markets with less competition 67%Leader of 6 outcomes
Forecasters
10
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleJan 19, 26, 6:52 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 6:51 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold Markets$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
PolymarketLargest Company end of December 2026?
PolymarketRules
I will not bet on this market.
- Please feel free to add your own answers (if you do not want to pay to add an answer, just leave a comment and let me know what you'd like to have added and I will add it for you)
- My net worth has been sitting relatively stagnant over the course of the last year, I would like to hit a net worth of 100k mana by the end of 2026.
- To that end, this market is an attempt to define strategies that will help me achieve those goals.
- I will resolve all answers that I feel contributed to increases to my portfolio in a meaningful way to YES, all answers that did not feel like they helped me gain Mana or that lost me Mana to a NO, and N/A any answers that I am unable or unwilling to try (buy 100k Mana, hack manifold, etc.)
- I was inspired to make this market based on @MarySmith's awesome "Improve My Bread" market, as I feel Futarchy may be a valuable method to figure out how to improve my gains.
Open markets
Business & CorporatePOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $354.3K
- 24h Vol
- $354.2K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+4.0pt50%
- 65-89+27.0pt47.1%
- 90-114-2.4pt2.9%
+7 more outcomes
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA+1.0pt78.4%
- Apple+0.6pt13.7%
- Alphabet6.9%
+5 more outcomes
KALSHIWashington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Above 80,000 jobs98%
- Above 81,000 jobs95%
- Above 82,000 jobs+3.0pt92%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.5K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-199-1.0pt18.2%
- 200-219-1.0pt18.2%
- 160-179+1.0pt14.1%
+23 more outcomes
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of September?
- NVIDIA+0.3pt98%
- Apple-0.2pt2%
- Alphabet0%
+6 more outcomes
- Boeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- California FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026
- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- Illinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026
- 3rd Largest Company end of September?
- Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
- Taco Bell same-store sales growth in Q3
- Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Improve my gains? [Add Answers]?
- Manifold Markets prices Focusing on niche markets with less competition at 67% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Improve my gains? [Add Answers] resolve?
- Improve my gains? [Add Answers] is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Improve my gains? [Add Answers] settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: I will not bet on this market.