Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastHave (or adopt) a child 76.9%Leader of 6 outcomes
Forecasters
6
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleAug 26, 26, 1:28 PM UTCJan 1, 45, 5:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
Which suggestions, if implemented, would I judge to have had a significant positive effect on my life (after being given a context-dependent amount of time to do so)?
- If I implement a suggestion and I judge it to have had a significant positive effect on my life (after being given a context-dependent amount of time to do so), resolves YES.
- If I implement a suggestion and I judge it to not have had a significant positive effect on my life (after being given a context-dependent amount of time to do so), resolves NO.
- If I judge that I am exceedingly unlikely to ever implement a suggestion (whether due to lack of willingness or otherwise), it may resolve N/A. Some basic details about me:
- Male in mid-thirties Living in a major urban center in North America Employed
Open markets
SoccerPOLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Barcelona18.1%
- Arsenal15.2%
- Paris Saint-Germain13.3%
+33 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $28M
- 24h Vol
- $2.9M
POLYMARKETBV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Villarreal CF
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund56%
- Draw (BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Villarreal CF)23%
- Villarreal CF-2.0pt21%
- Total Vol
- $2.6M
KALSHIClub Brugge vs Aston Villa
- Aston Villa+50.0pt88.1%
- Tie-18.0pt8.9%
- Club Brugge-32.0pt3%
- Total Vol
- $2.8M
KALSHIReal Madrid vs Inter
- Real Madrid60.8%
- Tie20.6%
- Inter-1.0pt18.6%
- Total Vol
- $1.6M
- 24h Vol
- $1.2M
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)MLB: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Kansas City Royals (Sep 7, 2026)
- ARI+28.0pt79.8%
- KC-31.0pt20.2%
- Total Vol
- $1.2M
- 24h Vol
- $1.2M
POLYMARKETReal Madrid CF vs. FC Internazionale Milano
- Real Madrid CF+2.0pt61.4%
- Draw (Real Madrid CF vs. FC Internazionale Milano)-1.0pt20.8%
- FC-2.0pt17.8%
- AEK Athens vs LASK
- Dortmund vs Villarreal
- Porto vs Manchester City
- Real Madrid CF vs. FC Internazionale Milano - More Markets
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- FC Porto vs. Manchester City FC
- Champions League Winner
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for ✨ Improve my life? ✨ [ADD OPTIONS]?
- Manifold Markets prices Have (or adopt) a child at 77% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does ✨ Improve my life? ✨ [ADD OPTIONS] resolve?
- ✨ Improve my life? ✨ [ADD OPTIONS] is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2045.
- How is ✨ Improve my life? ✨ [ADD OPTIONS] settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Which suggestions, if implemented, would I judge to have had a significant positive effect on my life (after being given a context-dependent amount of time to do so)?