Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: 16 (77.1%)
Resolved: Jul 19, 2026, 9:38 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 20, 2026, 4:20 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Probability Timeline
< 110.6%
110.6%
120.6%
131.3%
140.7%
1513.9%
1677.1%
173.1%
181.1%
>180.9%
Won
Lost
Lost
Lost
Lost
Lost
Lost
Lost
Lost
Lost
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.