How many monthly active users will Spotify report for Q3 2026? (earnings Oct 22)
32.4 pts (24h)RegulationQuarterly9d
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast788M – 791M 52.5%+32.4ptLeader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters
2
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+27.5 pts
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleOct 10, 26, 9:14 AM UTCOct 23, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
How many monthly active users (MAUs) will Spotify report for Q3 2026? **Resolves on** the total MAU figure (in millions) in Spotify Technology S.A.'s Q3 2026 earnings release / shareholder deck, scheduled for **October 22, 2026** before US market open (investors.spotify.com, also filed as a Form 6-K on sec.gov).
- Spotify reports MAUs as a whole number of millions; that reported figure is what counts. **Context:** - Q2 2026: 777M MAUs, 1M below Spotify's own guidance of 778M.
- Premium subscribers hit 300M (beat). - Q3 2026 guidance: **788M MAUs** (+11M quarter on quarter), 305M Premium subscribers. - Spotify beat its MAU guidance by 3–10M through 2025.
- In 2026 it has come in about 1M short. **Answers** (exactly one resolves YES): - the named outcome - the named outcome - the named outcome - the named outcome If the release slips, the close date is extended and the market resolves on the first Q3 2026 report.
- If Spotify stops reporting MAUs or changes the definition so the figure is not comparable, resolves N/A. I may trade on this market only after 7 days and within small limits.