Current community forecast
Yes 81%
Yes 81%Forecasters
1
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 16 hours ago
StaleMay 18, 26, 6:41 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Claude surpass ChatGPT in monthly active users by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Manifold reach 100k monthly active users before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Bluesky exceed 50 million monthly active users before December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsMercadoLibre fintech monthly active users in Q3
KalshiLife360 monthly active users in Q3
KalshiWhich of the following social platforms will die first? (die = lose >50% of average monthly active users YoY)
Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cursor (developed by Anysphere) publicly reports, or if there is credible, widely-cited media reporting confirming, that it has reached at least 10 million monthly active users (MAU) at any point before January 1, 2027.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
- Resolution will be based on announcements from Anysphere, official company blog posts, or reports from major, reputable financial or technology news outlets (e.g., Bloomberg, The Information, TechCrunch).
- Cursor is an AI-first code editor built on top of Visual Studio Code.
- It has experienced rapid growth since its launch, with recent reports as of early 2026 indicating that the platform had surpassed 1 million daily active users (DAU) and was serving over 50,000 business customers.
