Which of the following social platforms will die first? (die = lose >50% of average monthly active users YoY)

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Which of the following social platforms will die first? (die = lose >50% of average monthly active users YoY)?

Manifold Markets prices Threads at 72.3% as of October 28, 2026.

When does Which of the following social platforms will die first? (die = lose >50% of average monthly active users YoY) resolve?

Which of the following social platforms will die first? (die = lose >50% of average monthly active users YoY) is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.

How is Which of the following social platforms will die first? (die = lose >50% of average monthly active users YoY) settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: The first 24 hours will act as a buffer to solidify the resolution criteria so please post any questions you have in the comments.

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

AI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:

POLYMARKET

Counter-Strike: B8 vs Alliance (BO3) - Tesla Cup Group A

• Games Total: O/U 2.5 — Over100%
• B861%
• Map 3 Rounds Handicap: B8 (-6.5) vs Alliance (+6.5) — B850%

+17 more outcomes

Total Vol

$750.3K

24h Vol

$759.1K

POLYMARKET

Elon Musk # tweets October 23 - October 30, 2026?

• 320-339+5.0pt29.4%
• 340-359+4.5pt22.6%
• 300-319-2.5pt18.6%

+27 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Elon Musk # tweets October 26 - October 28, 2026?

• 90-114+52.0pt94%
• 115-139-1.6pt6%
• 140-164-1.4pt0%

+7 more outcomes

KALSHI

Alliance vs. B8

• Alliance48%
• B852%

Total Vol

$320.3K

24h Vol

$315.6K

KALSHI

Bitcoin price at the end of 2026

• 80,000 to 84,999.9915.6%
• 75,000 to 79,999.99+0.2pt14.7%
• 85,000 to 89,999.9912.3%

KALSHI

BTC price on Oct 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

• $72,500 or above+3.0pt98.5%
• $71,500 or above+3.0pt99%
• $72,000 or above+2.0pt

• BTC price on Oct 28, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
• Elon Musk # tweets October 27 - November 3, 2026?
• Which company has the best AI model end of October?
• Best AI at the end of 2026?
• Where will it rain on Oct 28, 2026?
• BNB price on Oct 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
• Counter-Strike: HOTU vs GamerLegion (BO3) - Tesla Cup Group B
• Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
• How many launches will SpaceX have in October?
• HYPE price on Oct 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
• Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?