Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNot in 2026 36.4%+16.4ptLeader of 5 outcomes
Forecasters
6
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+16.4 pts
Market data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Sep 20, 26, 6:09 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
No news at last week's Nintendo Direct, but everything official still says "Releases 2026".
Open markets
Entertainment
KALSHIResident Evil · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 94+11.0pt99%
- Above 9099%
- Above 9399%
+16 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.7M
- 24h Vol
- $769.7K
KALSHIOscar Winner: Best Picture
- The Odyssey-5.0pt47%
- The Black Ball+16.0pt32%
- Dune: Part Three-1.0pt11%
+38 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $6.5M
KALSHITop US Netflix Movie this week?
- Why Did I Get Married Again?+15.0pt38%
- The AI Doc: Or How I Became an Apocaloptimist1%
- The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare1%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $176.6K
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 7099%
- Above 5099%
- Above 6599%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $448.4K
- 24h Vol
- $78K
POLYMARKET# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- 60-70M+39.0pt69%
- 70-80M-32.0pt27%
- 50-60M-0.6pt2%
+4 more outcomes
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Rick Devens-2.0pt35.7%
- Dee Valladares-1.0pt25.9%
- Drew Campbell13.4%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $5.4M
- Big Brother Season 28 · Thursday elimination
- "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- Oscar Winner: Best Actor
- Heart of the Beast · Rotten Tomatoes score
- GTA VI released by which date?
- The Social Reckoning · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Digger · Rotten Tomatoes score
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 2?
- Forgotten Island · Rotten Tomatoes score
- New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027: Headliners
- Dune: Part Three: Rotten Tomatoes score
- Who Will Perform at Red Rocks in 2027?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Duskbloods release date??
- Manifold Markets prices Not in 2026 at 36% as of September 21, 2026.
- When does Duskbloods release date? resolve?
- Duskbloods release date? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Duskbloods release date? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: No news at last week's Nintendo Direct, but everything official still says "Releases 2026".