What are the current odds for Did/will H5N1 come from a laboratory??

Manifold Markets prices No at 93% as of October 24, 2026.

When does Did/will H5N1 come from a laboratory? resolve?

Did/will H5N1 come from a laboratory? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2040.

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: With H5N1 cases in animals rising might as well get ahead of the curve.

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

No 93%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 13 hours ago

Stale

Jul 6, 23, 3:04 PM UTCDec 31, 40, 10:59 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

With H5N1 cases in animals rising might as well get ahead of the curve.

Resolves the same way as:
@/IsaacKing/did-covid19-come-from-a-laboratory
but for H5N1.
It does not need to have happened before market open, as long as it's continuous with the current outbreak.