By 2029, will an AI be able to generate Video Games comparable to ~2023 'AA' Mid Market Games?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for By 2029, will an AI be able to generate Video Games comparable to ~2023 'AA' Mid Market Games??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 84.4% as of October 29, 2026.

When does By 2029, will an AI be able to generate Video Games comparable to ~2023 'AA' Mid Market Games? resolve?

By 2029, will an AI be able to generate Video Games comparable to ~2023 'AA' Mid Market Games? is scheduled to resolve on January 2, 2029.

How is By 2029, will an AI be able to generate Video Games comparable to ~2023 'AA' Mid Market Games? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: A single AI system must be able to use an arbitrary prompt to generate video games from any genre that exists today in 2023.

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

AI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google+0.1pt98%
• Anthropic-0.9pt1%
• OpenAI+0.2pt1%

+18 more outcomes

Total Vol

$4.1M

24h Vol

$237.8K

POLYMARKET

Anthropic announces bankruptcy by which date?

• 2029+2.0pt24%
• 2028-1.0pt17%
• 2027+0.5pt9%

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Gemini+9.6pt55%
• Claude-10.5pt35.1%
• ChatGPT+0.6pt

POLYMARKET

OpenAI announces bankruptcy by which date?

• 2029+1.5pt22%
• 2028+5.0pt18%
• 2027+2.5pt9%

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T+1.0pt29.8%
• $1.5–$1.75T+4.2pt21.1%
• $2.0–$2.25T-2.0pt20.2%

+7 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

• Google+6.5pt57.1%
• Anthropic-7.5pt34.7%
• OpenAI-0.3pt6.1%

+12 more outcomes

• Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
• Anthropic IPO by which date?
• OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
• Google market share this week
• Gemini Carbon: HLE-Diamond Debut?
• OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
• Gemini Carbon released by which date?
• Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
• GPT Astra 6.1+ released by which date?