Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast≥$0.8T 100%Leader of 10 outcomes
Forecasters
17
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
-25.9 pts
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleApr 22, 26, 3:49 AMOct 1, 26, 3:59 AM
Trends
100%
100%
Rules
Resolves each threshold based on the peak valuation for Anthropic credibly reported with an as-of date on or before 2026-09-30.
- Pre-IPO: valuation is set by primary funding rounds, tender offers, or IPO pricing.
- Secondary transactions between existing investors do not count — they reflect individual trades, not company-endorsed valuation events.
- Post-IPO: valuation = peak market cap between IPO and 2026-09-30 (highest closing share price × shares outstanding at that time).
- ≥$X resolves YES as soon as such a figure meets or exceeds $X; remaining thresholds resolve NO at close.
- Company announcements; SEC filings (S-1, 424B, 10-Q, 10-K); major financial press (The Information, Bloomberg, Reuters, WSJ).
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Anthropic highest valuation by end of September 2026?
- Manifold Markets prices ≥$0.8T at 100% as of August 21, 2026.
- When does Anthropic highest valuation by end of September 2026 resolve?
- Anthropic highest valuation by end of September 2026 is scheduled to resolve on October 1, 2026.
- How is Anthropic highest valuation by end of September 2026 settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves each threshold based on the peak valuation for Anthropic credibly reported with an as-of date on or before 2026-09-30.
