Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 24, 2026, 12:40 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current community forecastYes 20%
Forecasters
42
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 2 days ago
StaleMay 26, 26, 10:49 PMDec 31, 29, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes20%
Volume trend
$510Jul 94d of dataJul 24
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