KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Italy 69.9%-19.0ptVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
58 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$3.3K
Liquidity
$2.8K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
67.0% / 72.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Sep 4, 26, 12:38 AMSep 9, 26, 6:45 PM
Trends
Rules
If Italy wins the China vs Italy women's professional FIBA World Cup (W) basketball game originally scheduled for Sep 7, 2026 at 2:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result.
- If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
- If China wins the China vs Italy women's professional FIBA World Cup (W) basketball game originally scheduled for Sep 7, 2026 at 2:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for Italy is 72%.
CoinRithm reference Italy 72% · 2 venues · 0 pt venue spread
- Also available on Polymarket — Italy vs. China · Italy 72%
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for China vs Italy?
- Kalshi prices Italy at 70% as of September 7, 2026.
- When does China vs Italy resolve?
- China vs Italy is scheduled to resolve on September 9, 2026.
- How is China vs Italy settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Italy wins the China vs Italy women's professional FIBA World Cup (W) basketball game originally scheduled for Sep 7, 2026 at 2:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Where else is China vs Italy listed?
- The same question is also listed on Polymarket.
