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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 7, 2026, 8:35 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Luca 100%
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$15.1K
Liquidity
$95.3K
High liquidityBid / Ask
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleSep 6, 26, 11:05 AMSep 14, 26, 7:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Luca100%
China, Qualifying: Completed Match: Luca100%
100%
100%
Rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Castelnuovo and Tsung-Hao Huang in the Shanghai, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 3:00AM ET.
- This market will resolve to 'Luca Castelnuovo' if Luca Castelnuovo advances against Tsung-Hao Huang.
- This market will resolve to 'Tsung-Hao Huang' if Tsung-Hao Huang advances against Luca Castelnuovo.
- If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
- If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
- If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
