KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
At least 800K bpd 94%-1.0ptLeader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
42 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$33.3
Liquidity
$138
Low liquiditySpread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Sep 2, 26, 9:00 PM UTCOct 13, 26, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
If Venezuela’s average daily crude oil production for September is the named outcome, as reported in the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published after the reference month, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:OPEC
- The Underlying is Venezuela’s crude oil production based on secondary sources, as shown in the OPEC crude oil production table.
- OPEC reports this figure in thousand barrels per day (tb/d); for purposes of this market, 800K bpd equals 800 tb/d and 1.0M bpd equals 1,000 tb/d.
- Venezuela’s direct-communication figure and any natural gas liquids or non-conventional liquids figures will not be used.
- Later revisions, corrections, or subsequent reports will not be considered.
Open markets
CommoditiesKALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 8, 2026?
- Above $88.49+7.0pt99%
- Above $84.4999%
- Above $87.99+4.0pt99%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $302.5K
- 24h Vol
- $166.3K
POLYMARKETWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ $90+35.5pt100%
- ↑ $85+5.7pt100%
- ↓ $90100%
+22 more outcomes
KALSHINatural gas price on September 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Above $2.85099%
- Above $2.85598%
- Above $2.92596%
+67 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $95.3K
- 24h Vol
- $95.2K
KALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 9, 2026?
- Above $85.99+7.0pt99%
- Above $85.4999%
- Above $84.9999%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $121K
- 24h Vol
- $87.8K
KALSHIDiesel prices this week
- Above $5.7099%
- Above $5.7299%
- Above $5.7499%
+18 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $56.5K
- 24h Vol
- $56.5K
KALSHIUS-Iran nuclear deal?
- Before Jan 20, 2029+6.0pt34.3%
- Before Jan 1, 2028+5.0pt25.3%
- Before Mar 1, 202711.1%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $7.9M
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Venezuela crude oil production in September?
- Kalshi prices At least 800K bpd at 94% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Venezuela crude oil production in September resolve?
- Venezuela crude oil production in September is scheduled to resolve on October 13, 2026.
- How is Venezuela crude oil production in September settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Venezuela’s average daily crude oil production for September is the named outcome, as reported in the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published after the reference month, then the market resolves to Yes.