KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 103 32%Market line of 9 lines
Above 103 32%Market quality
48 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$2
Open interest
$19.2K
Medium open interestSpread
5.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 28 minutes ago
Aug 28, 26, 4:00 PM UTCOct 7, 26, 2:29 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Urban Outfitters Credit Card Spend in October
KalshiShell Monthly Credit Card Spend in September
KalshiStarbucks Credit Card Spend in September
KalshiAmazon Credit Card Spend in September
KalshiCredit Card Competition act enacted before 2027?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets September 29 - October 6, 2026?
PolymarketRules
If the Carbon Arc Urban Outfitters Credit Card Spend (September 2026) for September 2026 is above 103, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Carbon Arc
- For purposes of this market, determination will resolve on the first value reported by Carbon Arc. Corrections or revisions made after the market has been settled will not affect the outcome. The index measures year-over-year change, where 100 means Urban Outfitters Credit Card Spend was equal to the same month last year. Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% more spend than year prior, 97 = 3% decline from year prior. The index is measured by Carbon Arc's aggregated U.S. credit and debit card transaction panel, matched to the same period of the prior year. The panel updates daily as new data arrives. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 90
- If the Carbon Arc Urban Outfitters Credit Card Spend (September 2026) for September 2026 is above 90, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 94
- If the Carbon Arc Urban Outfitters Credit Card Spend (September 2026) for September 2026 is above 94, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 99
- If the Carbon Arc Urban Outfitters Credit Card Spend (September 2026) for September 2026 is above 99, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 97
- If the Carbon Arc Urban Outfitters Credit Card Spend (September 2026) for September 2026 is above 97, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 103
- If the Carbon Arc Urban Outfitters Credit Card Spend (September 2026) for September 2026 is above 103, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 101
- If the Carbon Arc Urban Outfitters Credit Card Spend (September 2026) for September 2026 is above 101, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 110
- If the Carbon Arc Urban Outfitters Credit Card Spend (September 2026) for September 2026 is above 110, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 106
- If the Carbon Arc Urban Outfitters Credit Card Spend (September 2026) for September 2026 is above 106, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 115
- If the Carbon Arc Urban Outfitters Credit Card Spend (September 2026) for September 2026 is above 115, then the market resolves to Yes.