KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Above 109 (99%)
Resolved: Oct 6, 2026, 6:43 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Above 109
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
99%
ConsensusData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 6, 2026, 2:45 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Above 13195%
Above 12997%
Above 13728%
Above 13925%
Above 13394%
Above 10999%
Above 1356%
Above 11797%
Above 109Won
Above 111Lost
Above 113Lost
Above 115Lost
Above 131Lost
Above 119Lost
Above 121Lost
Above 123Lost
Above 129Lost
Above 117Lost
Above 125Lost
Above 127Lost
Above 133Lost
Above 135Lost
Above 139Lost
Above 137Lost
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KalshiRules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If the Carbon Arc Broadline Retail Ad Spend (September 2026) for September 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Carbon Arc
- For purposes of this market, determination will resolve on the first value reported by Carbon Arc.
- Corrections or revisions made after the market has been settled will not affect the outcome.
- The index measures year-over-year, where 100 means Broadline Retail Ad Spend was equal to the same month last year.
- Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% growth, 97 = 3% decline from year prior.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Carbon Arc.