KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Above 112 · —
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Book received (not venue quote time): —
Stored price
Above 129 Stored bid–ask33%–39%Collected: Last trade: 46% · Trade time unknownPrices are percentages of payout, before fees; these stored observations are not executable quotes.Market line of 7 lines
Above 129 Stored bid–ask33%–39%Collected: Last trade: 46% · Trade time unknownPrices are percentages of payout, before fees; these stored observations are not executable quotes.Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$2.1K
Open interest
$2.9K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Above 112Spread
—
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Oct 1, 26, 4:00 AM UTCNov 6, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Above 112
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Book received (not venue quote time): —
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the Carbon Arc Broadline Retail Ad Spend (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 129, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Carbon Arc
- For purposes of this market, determination will resolve on finalized Carbon Arc values recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 5th calendar day after the end of the month covered by this market. For example, finalized Carbon Arc values for August will be recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on September 5th. The index measures year-over-year, where 100 means Broadline Retail Ad Spend was equal to the same month last year. Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% growth, 97 = 3% decline from year prior. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Carbon Arc. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 112
- If the Carbon Arc Broadline Retail Ad Spend (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 112, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 129
- If the Carbon Arc Broadline Retail Ad Spend (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 129, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 135
- If the Carbon Arc Broadline Retail Ad Spend (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 135, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 132
- If the Carbon Arc Broadline Retail Ad Spend (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 132, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 138
- If the Carbon Arc Broadline Retail Ad Spend (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 138, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 141
- If the Carbon Arc Broadline Retail Ad Spend (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 141, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 166
- If the Carbon Arc Broadline Retail Ad Spend (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 166, then the market resolves to Yes.