KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Above -1.5% (96%)
Resolved: Aug 21, 2026, 12:47 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 21, 2026, 5:50 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Above -1.5% 96%Leader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
19 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$621.5
Liquidity
$2K
Low liquidityMarket data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleJul 24, 26, 8:45 PMAug 21, 26, 5:59 AM
Probability Timeline
Above 1.5%15%
Above 1.0%18%
Above -1.0%86%
Above 0.5%30%
Above 0.0%41%
96%
82%
41%
30%
18%
15%
7%
0%
Rules
If the United Kingdom retail sales MoM for July 2026 is above -1.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Trading Economics
- If the United Kingdom retail sales MoM for July 2026 is above -1.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the United Kingdom retail sales MoM for July 2026 is above 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the United Kingdom retail sales MoM for July 2026 is above 0.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for UK retail sales in July?
- Kalshi prices Above -1.5% at 96% as of August 21, 2026.
- When does UK retail sales in July resolve?
- UK retail sales in July is scheduled to resolve on August 21, 2026.
- How is UK retail sales in July settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the United Kingdom retail sales MoM for July 2026 is above -1.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
