KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 29, 2026, 3:25 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Before Apr 6, 2028 · —
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Stored price
Before Apr 6, 2028 35.5%Leader of 3 outcomes
Before Apr 6, 2028 35.5%Market quality
28 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$635.9
Low open interestBid / Ask
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Before Apr 6, 2028Spread
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Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleAug 20, 26, 6:00 PM UTCNov 1, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Before Apr 6, 2028
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Rules
If the UK agrees to or announces a cut or repeal of its digital services tax before Apr 6, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:HM Treasury
- A market resolves to Yes on a UK government announcement that abolishes the digital services tax, reduces its rate, raises either of its revenue thresholds, suspends it, or exempts companies from its scope. There is no minimum size and the measure need not be legislated or in force before the strike date. A rate increase, or a change that only broadens the tax, does not resolve any market. An announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following: Formal commitment by the head of government with constitutional authority Official statements by authorized ministers Official press releases Formal declarations during government proceedings Announcements with a specified future implementation date Phased implementation announcements, and multi-party agreements to which the UK is a signatory, also qualify. The following do NOT qualify: Preliminary discussions Conditional agreements contingent on circumstances Opposition party statements Leaked documents or unofficial reports not confirmed by government sources Think-tank recommendations General aspirations without specific commitment Draft legislation without approval or adoption Regional or sub-national actions Retraction of previously announced commitments
Rules for each outcome
- Before Apr 6, 2028
- If the UK agrees to or announces a cut or repeal of its digital services tax before Apr 6, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Apr 6, 2027
- If the UK agrees to or announces a cut or repeal of its digital services tax before Apr 6, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 1, 2026
- If the UK agrees to or announces a cut or repeal of its digital services tax before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
