KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Before Apr 6, 2028 46.4%Leader of 3 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
35 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$604
Low liquiditySpread
7.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 16 minutes ago
Aug 20, 26, 6:00 PM UTCNov 1, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Carried Interest Repeal by End of 2026
Manifold MarketsWill the European Union introduce a digital euro as a central bank digital currency (CBDC) before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (H.R.3633) become law by December 31 2026?
ForecastExWill Manifold be deplatformed by any of their payment processors or webhosting services over a refusal to moderate content?
Manifold MarketsWill Wyoming create a Digital Asset Authority?
KalshiClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
PolymarketRules
If the UK agrees to or announces a cut or repeal of its digital services tax the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:HM Treasury
- A market resolves to Yes on a UK government announcement that abolishes the digital services tax, reduces its rate, raises either of its revenue thresholds, suspends it, or exempts companies from its scope.
- There is no minimum size and the measure need not be legislated or in force before the strike date.
- A rate increase, or a change that only broadens the tax, does not resolve any market.
- An announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following:
- Formal commitment by the head of government with constitutional authority Official statements by authorized ministers Official press releases Formal declarations during government proceedings Announcements with a specified future implementation date
Open markets
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+1.0pt86%
- Yes-1.0pt14%
- Total Vol
- $14.5M
- 24h Vol
- $149K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,84%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.8M
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Oct 1, 2027-6.0pt39%
- Before Jan 1, 2028+13.0pt37%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-8.0pt32%
+7 more outcomes
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T21.9%
- $1.75T–$2.0T20.8%
- $1.5T–$1.75T-3.1pt16.7%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHow many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?
- At least 3+18.0pt87%
- At least 267%
- At least 4+13.0pt57%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $49.4K
- Will marijuana be rescheduled?
- Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by September 30?
- Weed rescheduled by which date?
- Will another state enact a data center moratorium in 2026?
- SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
- OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?
- Will Wyoming create a Digital Asset Authority?
- LSU to leave the SEC before 2027?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for When will the UK cut or repeal its digital services tax??
- Kalshi prices Before Apr 6, 2028 at 46% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does When will the UK cut or repeal its digital services tax? resolve?
- When will the UK cut or repeal its digital services tax? is scheduled to resolve on November 1, 2026.
- How is When will the UK cut or repeal its digital services tax? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the UK agrees to or announces a cut or repeal of its digital services tax the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.