KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Trump (99%)
Resolved: Sep 17, 2026, 1:09 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
Trump 99%Leader of 14 outcomes
Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$15.3K
Liquidity
$14.2K
Medium liquidityMarket data
Updated yesterday
StaleSep 16, 26, 1:00 AM UTCSep 30, 26, 2:00 PM UTC
Probability Timeline
AI / Artificial Intelligence1%
Trump95%
Corrupt / Corruption1%
Muslim / Islam99%
AIPAC1%
Tariff1%
Afford / Affordable / Affordability99%
Healthcare89%
Billionaire1%
ICE1%
Socialist / Socialism1%
Data Center55%
Event does not qualify2%
Zohran / Mamdani1%
99%
99%
99%
99%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiWhat will Trump say this week?
KalshiRules
If Abdul El-Sayed says the named outcome as part of The Weeknight on Sep 16 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSAxiosCNNReutersThe New York TimesThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPolitico
- How this is resolved Video of the The Weeknight on Sep 16 using the live broadcast or stream.
- If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the The Weeknight on Sep 16 will be used.
- Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
- Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
- Abdul El-Sayed speaking in an official capacity.
