KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Democrat 97%Leader of 27 outcomes
Market quality
69 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$15.9K
Liquidity
$14.7K
Medium liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Sep 16, 26, 5:15 PM UTCOct 2, 26, 2:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Who will win the 2026 United States Senate special election in Ohio (to fill JD Vance's seat)?
Manifold MarketsWhat party will win the special election to fill JD Vance's Senate seat?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Manifold MarketsJD Vance out as VP by which date?
PolymarketWhen will JD Vance announce his presidential candidacy?
KalshiWill the Pope excommunicate JD Vance before 2028?
PredictItRules
If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSAxiosCNNReutersThe New York TimesThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPolitico
- How this is resolved Video of the Midterm Rally in Council Bluffs, Iowa using the live broadcast or stream.
- If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Midterm Rally in Council Bluffs, Iowa will be used.
- Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
- Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
- JD Vance speaking in an official capacity.
Open markets
DogecoinKALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- Autopen / Auto Pen+76.0pt99%
- Transgender+4.0pt99%
- Sleepy Joe99%
+34 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $183K
- 24h Vol
- $109.6K
KALSHIWhat will Mark Carney say during his European Parliament address?
- Afford / Affordable / Affordability+75.0pt99%
- AI / Artificial Intelligence+13.0pt99%
- Arctic+26.0pt99%
+11 more outcomes
KALSHIWhat will Roy Cooper say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell?
- Iran / Iranian99%
- Whatley99%
- Republican99%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $31K
- 24h Vol
- $31K
KALSHIWhat will Trump say in September?
- Golden Age99%
- Who are you with / Where are you from99%
- Barack Hussein Obama99%
+25 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $126.3K
- 24h Vol
- $13.1K
KALSHIWhat will Zelenskyy say during the United Nations General Assembly?
- Drone94%
- NATO89%
- Sanction / Tariff83%
+12 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $14.5K
- 24h Vol
KALSHIWhat will Trump say during the United Nations General Assembly?
- Iran / Iranian+3.0pt94%
- Nuclear+1.0pt94%
- Oil / Gas / Gasoline+6.0pt93%
+26 more outcomes
- What will Chris Wright say during Daily Caller Live?
- DOGE 15 min · $0.0813986 target
- What will Netanyahu say during the United Nations General Assembly?
- What will Trump say during his Rose Garden dinner?
- What companies will Trump say in September?
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Iowa ??
- Kalshi prices Democrat at 97% as of September 17, 2026.
- When does What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Iowa ? resolve?
- What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Iowa ? is scheduled to resolve on October 2, 2026.
- How is What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Iowa ? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.