What will Mark Carney say during his European Parliament address?
DogecoinOne-OffMemecoinPoliticsUS Politics
KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Afford / Affordable / Affordability (98%)
Resolved: Sep 17, 2026, 4:25 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 17, 2026, 3:50 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
Oil / Gas / Gasoline43%
Iran / Iranian19%
Nuclear29%
Rare Earth / Mineral96%
Tariff4%
NATO58%
Trump8%
Ukraine / Ukrainian90%
Arctic67%
Afford / Affordable / Affordability27%
Rare Earth / MineralLost
AI / Artificial IntelligenceLost
ArcticLost
Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityWon
TariffLost
Oil / Gas / GasolineLost
NATOLost
NuclearLost
TrumpLost
Iran / IranianLost
Event does not qualifyLost
China / ChineseLost
Russia / RussianLost
Ukraine / UkrainianLost
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Manifold MarketsRules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSAxiosCNNReutersThe New York TimesThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPolitico
- How this is resolved Video of the European Parliament address using the live broadcast or stream.
- If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the European Parliament address will be used.
- Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
- Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
- Mark Carney speaking in an official capacity.