KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Democrat 90%Leader of 30 outcomes
Market quality
66 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$7K
Liquidity
$6.6K
Medium liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Sep 17, 26, 3:20 AM UTCOct 1, 26, 2:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
What will Trump say during the United Nations General Assembly?
KalshiWhat will Trump say in September?
KalshiWhat will Trump say this week? (September 14 - September 20)
PolymarketWhat companies will Trump say in September?
KalshiWhat will Trump say in September?
PolymarketWill trump say or write "effective altruism"?
Manifold MarketsRules
If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSAxiosCNNReutersThe New York TimesThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPolitico
- How this is resolved Video of the Rose Garden dinner originally scheduled for September 17, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream.
- If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Rose Garden dinner originally scheduled for September 17, 2026 will be used.
- Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
- Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
- Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity.
Open markets
BitcoinPOLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 17?
- 68,000+0.7pt100%
- 70,000+1.3pt100%
- 72,000+2.6pt100%
+8 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.3M
- 24h Vol
- $970.7K
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 17, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $70,000 or above99%
- $72,500 or above99%
- $72,000 or above99%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $766.8K
- 24h Vol
- $749.6K
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit in September?
- ↑ 80,000+31.4pt100%
- ↓ 77,500100%
- ↓ 75,000+52.5pt100%
+28 more outcomes
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 18, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $69,000 or above+1.0pt98%
- $64,500 or above98%
- $67,000 or above98%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.5M
- 24h Vol
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 18?
- 68,000100%
- 70,000+1.3pt100%
- 72,000+4.8pt99%
+8 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
- ↓ 60,000+10.4pt100%
- ↑ 80,000+11.9pt100%
- ↑ 75,000+30.4pt100%
+43 more outcomes
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- What price will Bitcoin hit September 14-20?
- Bitcoin Up or Down on September 17?
- Bitcoin price on September 17?
- How high will BTC get in September?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 19?
- BTC 15 min · $76,363.04 target
- How low will BTC get in September?
- What price will Bitcoin hit on September 17?
- Will Bitcoin be above $200k by 2027?
- When will Bitcoin hit $150k?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for What will Trump say during his Rose Garden dinner??
- Kalshi prices Democrat at 90% as of September 17, 2026.
- When does What will Trump say during his Rose Garden dinner? resolve?
- What will Trump say during his Rose Garden dinner? is scheduled to resolve on October 1, 2026.
- How is What will Trump say during his Rose Garden dinner? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.