KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Before January 2027 3%-2.0ptLeader of 4 outcomes
Market quality
≤74 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$12.4K
Liquidity
$2M
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Apr 4, 26, 5:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the price of Bitcoin is above 149999.99 by || Date || at || Time ||, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:CF Benchmarks
- The Contract is settled by taking an average of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) in any sixty second period, excluding the top 20% and bottom 20% of values.
- Data is used 24/7 to resolve the contract.
- If the price of Bitcoin is above || Count || by || Date || at || Time ||, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Manifold Markets — When will Bitcoin hit $150K? · After Dec 2030 33%