KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 6:47 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Before January 2027 · —
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Stored price
Before January 2027 2%
Before January 2027 2%Market quality
78 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$8.5K
Open interest
$1.3M
High open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Before January 2027Spread
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Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Apr 4, 26, 5:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Before September 2026Lost
Before close: 1% ·
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 1h (informational)
Market depth · Before January 2027
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the price of Bitcoin is above 149999.99 by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:CF Benchmarks
- The Contract is settled by taking an average of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) in any sixty second period, excluding the top 20% and bottom 20% of values. Data is used 24/7 to resolve the contract.
Rules for each outcome
- Before January 2027
- If the price of Bitcoin is above 149999.99 by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before September 2026
- If the price of Bitcoin is above 149999.99 by Aug 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Manifold Markets — When will Bitcoin hit $150K? · After Dec 2030 30%