KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Social (99%)
Resolved: Sep 30, 2026, 2:10 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Social
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
34%
SurpriseData quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 30, 2026, 1:24 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Tokenized / Tokenization84%
NFL / Football45%
Ventures Fund42%
Bitcoin5%
SpaceX27%
Social99%
AI / Artificial Intelligence6%
Crypto / Cryptocurrency1%
Futures1%
Gold (3+ times)1%
Credit Card1%
SocialWon
Perp / PerpetualLost
Option / OptionsLost
Active Trader / Active TradingLost
SIG / SusquehannaLost
AI / Artificial IntelligenceLost
Credit CardLost
Crypto / CryptocurrencyLost
BitcoinLost
FuturesLost
Gold (3+ times)Lost
Tokenized / TokenizationLost
KalshiLost
NFL / FootballLost
SpaceXLost
BlockchainLost
Ventures FundLost
Event does not qualifyLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSAxiosCNNReutersThe New York TimesThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPolitico
- How this is resolved Video of the HOOD Summit '26 Keynote using the live broadcast or stream.
- If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the HOOD Summit '26 Keynote will be used.
- Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
- Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
- Vlad Tenev speaking in an official capacity.
