Will Sam Altman hold super-voting OpenAI shares at IPO?
RegulationOne-OffAICorporate ActionsPoliticsElection1y
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 53%
No 53%Market quality
61 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$2.3K
Open interest
$2.3K
Low open interestBid / Ask
38.0% / 42.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Sep 30, 26, 2:00 AM UTCJan 1, 28, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:The Washington Postthe New York TimesMS NowABCNBCBBCCNBCThe Wall Street JournalCBSFox Newsthe Associated PressCNNReutersBloomberg NewsSEC filings
- How this is resolved SEC filings take priority, followed by the other sources listed in the full rules. Ownership and votes per share are measured at the initial closing of OpenAI's IPO. Payout Criteria Sam Altman holds shares with more votes per share than those sold to the public. Beneficial ownership, including through trusts or other entities, counts. Votes are compared on a common-share-equivalent basis, including convertible shares and Up-C structures. Any qualifying holding counts, regardless of size. Doesn't count for payout Announcements, unexercised options, unsettled RSUs, or shares acquired only after that closing. Veto or special board-election rights without higher votes per share. Direct listings, SPAC transactions, or offerings outside SEC registration. Expiration and no IPO Latest expiration: 10:00 AM ET on the earlier of 14 days after IPO shares first trade or one year after issuance. The market may close early if the payout criterion is met. Resolves No if no qualifying IPO closes by expiration, or no source reports a qualifying holding by then. Please see the full rules for more details. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the OpenAI. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- No
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- Yes
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.