KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
3.88% or Above 57.7%Leader of 7 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
45 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$4.3K
Liquidity
$4.3K
Medium liquidityMarket data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Sep 24, 26, 1:10 PM UTCSep 25, 26, 11:59 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
SOFR at end of Q3 2026
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KalshiHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
PolymarketHow high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
PolymarketHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
PolymarketHow high will 30-year Treasury yield go in September?
PolymarketRules
If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for September 24, 2026 is at most 3.82%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Federal Reserve Bank of New York
- The Underlying is the initially reported SOFR for September 24, 2026 in the table named “Secured Overnight Financing Rate Data” in the column labeled “Rate (%)”.
- Later revisions will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value.
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for September 24, 2026 is exactly 3.83%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for September 24, 2026 is exactly 3.84%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for September 24, 2026 is exactly 3.85%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for SOFR for September 24, 2026?
- Kalshi prices 3.88% or Above at 57.7% as of September 24, 2026.
- When does SOFR for September 24, 2026 resolve?
- SOFR for September 24, 2026 is scheduled to resolve on September 25, 2026.
- How is SOFR for September 24, 2026 settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for September 24, 2026 is at most 3.82%, then the market resolves to Yes.