KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
5% or above 99%Leader of 25 outcomes
Market quality
42 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$7.8K
Liquidity
$3.5K
Medium liquiditySpread
12.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 25 minutes ago
Sep 23, 26, 7:46 PM UTCSep 24, 26, 7:30 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 1h (informational)
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 25, 2026?
KalshiHow low will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
Kalshi30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 24, 2026?
Kalshi7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 25, 2026?
KalshiWill the US 10-year Treasury yield close at 5.25% or higher before November 16, 2026?
Manifold MarketsHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
PolymarketRules
If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.75% on Sep 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:U.S. Department of the Treasury
- The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Sep 24, 2026, or one week following Sep 24, 2026.
- If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.77% on Sep 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.79% on Sep 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.81% on Sep 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.83% on Sep 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
Bonds & TreasuriesPOLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
+13 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $634K
- 24h Vol
- $39.6K
POLYMARKETHow high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 5.45%+17.5pt90%
- 5.50%+17.0pt78%
+8 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $90.9K
- 24h Vol
- $27.3K
POLYMARKETHow high will 30-year Treasury yield go in September?
+9 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $60.9K
- 24h Vol
- $14K
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
+13 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $86K
- 24h Vol
- $13.7K
KALSHI10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 24, 2026?
- 5.11% or above99%
- 5.07% or above99%
- 5.03% or above99%
+22 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $11.7K
- 24h Vol
- $11.7K
KALSHI5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 24, 2026?
- 4.99% or above99%
- 4.95% or above99%
- 4.97% or above99%
+22 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $8K
- 24h Vol
- $7.9K
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 24, 2026?
- How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- UST par yield curve (2Y) at end of Q3 2026
- How high will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 24, 2026?
- SOFR for September 24, 2026
- How high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
- How high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Jan 1, 2027?
- How high will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Jan 1, 2027?
- How low will 5-year Treasury yield get in September?
Related Cryptos
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 24, 2026??
- Kalshi prices 5% or above at 99% as of September 24, 2026.
- When does 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 24, 2026? resolve?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 24, 2026? is scheduled to resolve on September 24, 2026.
- How is 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 24, 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.75% on Sep 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.