Will SCOTUS require state-law compensation in private natural-gas condemnations?
CommoditiesOne-OffUS Politics1y
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Yes 54%
Market quality
40 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$405
Low liquidityBid / Ask
47.0% / 54.0%
Spread
7.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Jul 24, 26, 12:00 AM UTCAug 1, 28, 2:00 PM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
If the Supreme Court, in Hoffmann v.
Settles via:Supreme Court
- WBI Energy Transmission, Inc., rules state law governs the determination of just compensation in private condemnations under the Natural Gas Act, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Payout Criterion encompasses the Expiration Values that the Supreme Court has ruled that, in private condemnations under the Natural Gas Act, just compensation must be determined by reference to state law, after Issuance and before August 1, 2028.
- The market resolves to No if the Court rules that compensation is governed solely by federal law, including the constitutional minimum required by the Fifth Amendment, or if the case is dismissed, found to have been improvidently granted, remanded, or otherwise disposed of without a merits ruling on whether state law governs the determination of compensation.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will SCOTUS require state-law compensation in private natural-gas condemnations??
- Kalshi prices Yes at 54% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will SCOTUS require state-law compensation in private natural-gas condemnations? resolve?
- Will SCOTUS require state-law compensation in private natural-gas condemnations? is scheduled to resolve on August 1, 2028.
- How is Will SCOTUS require state-law compensation in private natural-gas condemnations? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the Supreme Court, in Hoffmann v.