KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Above 2.50 (99%)
Resolved: Sep 30, 2026, 1:15 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 30, 2026, 10:48 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Above 4.4840%
Above 4.501%
Above 3.3099%
Above 3.4099%
Above 4.462%
Above 4.524%
Above 4.4412%
Above 2.8099%
Above 2.9099%
Above 4.4296%
Above 4.4392%
Above 4.40Lost
Above 4.10Lost
Above 2.50Won
Above 2.60Lost
Above 2.70Lost
Above 2.80Lost
Above 2.90Lost
Above 3.00Lost
Above 3.10Lost
Above 3.20Lost
Above 3.30Lost
Above 3.40Lost
Above 3.50Lost
Above 3.60Lost
Above 3.70Lost
Above 3.80Lost
Above 3.90Lost
Above 4.00Lost
Above 4.20Lost
Above 4.30Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will national gas prices in the US average above $3.60
Manifold MarketsWill Real Estate Prices in the US increase by at least 25% by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill US gas prices hit $6/gallon in 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
PolymarketCrude Oil all time high by which date?
PolymarketRules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $2.50 on Sep 30, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:AAA
- If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $2.60 on Sep 30, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $2.70 on Sep 30, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $2.80 on Sep 30, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $2.90 on Sep 30, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $3.00 on Sep 30, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.