KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above $550 billion 59%Market line of 7 lines
Above $550 billion 59%Market quality
48 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$23
Open interest
$2.7K
Medium open interestSpread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Sep 29, 26, 12:00 AM UTCJan 1, 29, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If global personal remittances sent in 2026 are above $550 billion, according to the World Bank’s July 2028 WDI archive or the subsequent qualifying archive specified below, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:World Bank
- Use the 2026 “World” value for “Personal remittances, paid (current US$)” (BM.TRF.PWKR.CD.DT) in the July 2028 WDI archive as initially published. If that archive is unavailable or omits the value, use the first subsequent archive containing it published by December 31, 2028, at 11:59 PM ET. Include revisions incorporated into the selected vintage and ignore subsequent changes. Divide the reported dollar value by 1 billion without rounding before comparison with the strike.
Rules for each outcome
- Above $500 billion
- If global personal remittances sent in 2026 are above $500 billion, according to the World Bank’s July 2028 WDI archive or the subsequent qualifying archive specified below, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $550 billion
- If global personal remittances sent in 2026 are above $550 billion, according to the World Bank’s July 2028 WDI archive or the subsequent qualifying archive specified below, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $650 billion
- If global personal remittances sent in 2026 are above $650 billion, according to the World Bank’s July 2028 WDI archive or the subsequent qualifying archive specified below, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $600 billion
- If global personal remittances sent in 2026 are above $600 billion, according to the World Bank’s July 2028 WDI archive or the subsequent qualifying archive specified below, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $700 billion
- If global personal remittances sent in 2026 are above $700 billion, according to the World Bank’s July 2028 WDI archive or the subsequent qualifying archive specified below, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $750 billion
- If global personal remittances sent in 2026 are above $750 billion, according to the World Bank’s July 2028 WDI archive or the subsequent qualifying archive specified below, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $800 billion
- If global personal remittances sent in 2026 are above $800 billion, according to the World Bank’s July 2028 WDI archive or the subsequent qualifying archive specified below, then the market resolves to Yes.