KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: Keiko Fujimori, 0-3% (94%)
Resolved: Jul 3, 2026, 7:59 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Keiko Fujimori, 0-3%
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Current implied probabilityKeiko Fujimori, 0-3% 81%Leader of 10 outcomes
Market quality
19 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$42.2K
High liquidityBid / Ask
- / 1.0%
Market data
Updated 24 days ago
StaleMay 21, 26, 9:00 PMJun 7, 27, 2:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Keiko Fujimori, ≥12%1%
Keiko Fujimori, 9-12%8%
Keiko Fujimori, 6-9%1%
Keiko Fujimori, 3-6%1%
Keiko Fujimori, 0-3%94%
Roberto Sánchez, 0-3%6%
Roberto Sánchez, 3-6%1%
Roberto Sánchez, 6-9%2%
Roberto Sánchez, 9-12%1%
Roberto Sánchez, ≥12%1%
0.9%
6.9%
0.9%
0.9%
81%
5.2%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Keiko Fujimori, 0-3%
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall82% match · verified | Low | 100% | — | $1.3K | $0 | 22 days ago | Open → |
| KalshiThis page | Low | 94% | — | $0 | $42.2K | 24 days ago |
Also available on Polymarket
Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory? (0.1% brackets)
0.5 ptsClosed
Resolved
Fujimori 0.2–0.3% (100%)
+0.5pt100%
0%
0%
+20 more outcomes
48 • Low qualityTight spreadLow liquidity
Total Vol$2.9M
24h Vol$1.3K
POLYMARKETRules
If the margin of victory for Keiko Fujimori in the 2026 Peru presidential election runoff falls within 12% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Keiko Fujimori minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Keiko Fujimori if Keiko Fujimori wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Keiko Fujimori loses.
- For raw votes: the total votes received by Keiko Fujimori minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Keiko Fujimori if Keiko Fujimori wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Keiko Fujimori loses.
- For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Keiko Fujimori minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Keiko Fujimori wins, or the electoral votes received by Keiko Fujimori minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Keiko Fujimori does not.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$5.6k99.8%POLYMARKETWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%? — Yespemul2s25d ago
POLYMARKETWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%? — Yespemul2s25d agoRelated Markets
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If the margin of victory for Keiko Fujimori in the 2026 Peru presidential election runoff falls within 12% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Keiko Fujimori minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Keiko Fujimori if Keiko Fujimori wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Keiko Fujimori loses.
- For raw votes: the total votes received by Keiko Fujimori minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Keiko Fujimori if Keiko Fujimori wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Keiko Fujimori loses.
- For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Keiko Fujimori minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Keiko Fujimori wins, or the electoral votes received by Keiko Fujimori minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Keiko Fujimori does not.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.