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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. Peru presidential election runoff margin of victory?
Peru presidential election runoff margin of victory?

Peru presidential election runoff margin of victory?

3.0% (24h)One-OffPoliticsElectionLatin America12mo
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Roberto Sánchez, 0-3%
Roberto Sánchez, 0-3% 3%-3.0%
Leader of 10 outcomes
Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$35.5

Liquidity

$434.1

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

2.0% / 3.0%

Spread

50.0%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 3 minutes ago

May 21, 26, 9:00 PMJun 7, 27, 2:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Roberto Sánchez, 0-3%3%

Rules

If the margin of victory for Keiko Fujimori in the 2026 Peru presidential election runoff falls within 12% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Keiko Fujimori minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Keiko Fujimori if Keiko Fujimori wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Keiko Fujimori loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Keiko Fujimori minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Keiko Fujimori if Keiko Fujimori wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Keiko Fujimori loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Keiko Fujimori minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Keiko Fujimori wins, or the electoral votes received by Keiko Fujimori minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Keiko Fujimori does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.

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Active in these topics

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Rules

If the margin of victory for Keiko Fujimori in the 2026 Peru presidential election runoff falls within 12% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Keiko Fujimori minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Keiko Fujimori if Keiko Fujimori wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Keiko Fujimori loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Keiko Fujimori minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Keiko Fujimori if Keiko Fujimori wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Keiko Fujimori loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Keiko Fujimori minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Keiko Fujimori wins, or the electoral votes received by Keiko Fujimori minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Keiko Fujimori does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.