KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 30,600 to 30,699.99 (99%)
Resolved: Oct 12, 2026, 11:02 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 12, 2026, 11:01 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
30,600 to 30,699.9999%
30,500 to 30,599.992%
30,700 to 30,799.992%
30,900 to 30,999.991%
31,100 to 31,199.993%
31,200 to 31,299.9920%
31,000 to 31,099.992%
32,100 or above36%
30,800 to 30,899.993%
30,400 to 30,499.993%
29,299.99 or below0%
29,300 to 29,399.990%
29,400 to 29,499.990%
29,500 to 29,599.990%
29,600 to 29,699.990%
29,700 to 29,799.990%
29,800 to 29,899.990%
29,900 to 29,999.990%
30,000 to 30,099.990%
30,100 to 30,199.990%
30,200 to 30,299.990%
30,300 to 30,399.990%
31,300 to 31,399.990%
31,400 to 31,499.990%
31,500 to 31,599.990%
31,600 to 31,699.990%
31,700 to 31,799.990%
31,800 to 31,899.990%
31,900 to 31,999.990%
32,000 to 32,099.990%
30,600 to 30,699.99Won
31,000 to 31,099.99Lost
30,400 to 30,499.99Lost
30,500 to 30,599.99Lost
30,700 to 30,799.99Lost
30,800 to 30,899.99Lost
30,900 to 30,999.99Lost
31,100 to 31,199.99Lost
31,200 to 31,299.99Lost
32,100 or aboveLost
29,299.99 or belowLost
29,300 to 29,399.99Lost
29,400 to 29,499.99Lost
29,500 to 29,599.99Lost
29,600 to 29,699.99Lost
29,700 to 29,799.99Lost
29,800 to 29,899.99Lost
29,900 to 29,999.99Lost
30,000 to 30,099.99Lost
30,100 to 30,199.99Lost
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FutuurRules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If the end-of-day Nasdaq 100 index value on October 12, 2026 is below 29300, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:For example, Google Finance
- The market will close on October 12, 2026.
- The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after October 12, 2026.
- Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets.
- See the rules for more information.
- If the end-of-day Nasdaq 100 index value on October 12, 2026 is between 29300 and 29399.9900, then the market resolves to Yes.