What will Melania say during her remarks on the Oleshky ceasefire?
DogecoinOne-OffMemecoinUS PoliticsGeopolitics14d
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Nov 5, 2026, 12:39 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
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Peace / Peaceful · —
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Stored price
Peace / Peaceful 84.5%Leader of 12 outcomes
Peace / Peaceful 84.5%Market quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$732.7
Open interest
$691.3
Low open interestBid / Ask
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Peace / PeacefulSpread
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Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingNov 4, 26, 3:30 AM UTCNov 19, 26, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
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Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Peace / Peaceful
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Ukraine re-enter Oleshky by which date?
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PolymarketRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine?
Manifold Markets[ACX 2026] Will there be a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2027?
Manifold MarketsRules
If Melania Trump says Peace / Peaceful as part of remarks on the Oleshky ceasefire originally scheduled for November 5, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSThe Washington PostAxiosCNNReutersThe New York Timesthe Associated PressPolitico
- How this is resolved Video of the remarks on the Oleshky ceasefire originally scheduled for November 5, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the remarks on the Oleshky ceasefire originally scheduled for November 5, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). Melania Trump speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.
Rules for each outcome
- Peace / Peaceful
- If Melania Trump says Peace / Peaceful as part of remarks on the Oleshky ceasefire originally scheduled for November 5, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Evacuate / Evacuated / Evacuation
- If Melania Trump says Evacuate / Evacuated / Evacuation as part of remarks on the Oleshky ceasefire originally scheduled for November 5, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Putin
- If Melania Trump says Putin as part of remarks on the Oleshky ceasefire originally scheduled for November 5, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Foster / Fostering
- If Melania Trump says Foster / Fostering as part of remarks on the Oleshky ceasefire originally scheduled for November 5, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Pope
- If Melania Trump says Pope as part of remarks on the Oleshky ceasefire originally scheduled for November 5, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Event does not qualify
- If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.
- AI / Artificial Intelligence
- If Melania Trump says AI / Artificial Intelligence as part of remarks on the Oleshky ceasefire originally scheduled for November 5, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Drone
- If Melania Trump says Drone as part of remarks on the Oleshky ceasefire originally scheduled for November 5, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Donald
- If Melania Trump says Donald as part of remarks on the Oleshky ceasefire originally scheduled for November 5, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Be Best
- If Melania Trump says Be Best as part of remarks on the Oleshky ceasefire originally scheduled for November 5, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Oil / Gas / Gasoline
- If Melania Trump says Oil / Gas / Gasoline as part of remarks on the Oleshky ceasefire originally scheduled for November 5, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- NATO
- If Melania Trump says NATO as part of remarks on the Oleshky ceasefire originally scheduled for November 5, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.