KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
At least 180,000 · —
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Stored price
At least 195,000 60%Market line of 11 lines
At least 195,000 60%Market quality
55 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.6K
Open interest
$5.5K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
At least 180,000Spread
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Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Oct 29, 26, 3:30 PM UTCNov 5, 26, 1:25 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · At least 180,000
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Continuing jobless claims for the week ending October 24, 2026
KalshiUS Initial Jobless Claims (Nov 5, 2026)
Robinhood (Rothera)US SPR level for the week ending October 30, 2026
KalshiUS crude oil inventories for the week ending October 30, 2026
KalshiWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 4% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
ForecastExBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
PolymarketRules
If there are at least 195,000 initial jobless claims for the week ending Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Department of Labor
Rules for each outcome
- At least 180,000
- If there are at least 180,000 initial jobless claims for the week ending Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 185,000
- If there are at least 185,000 initial jobless claims for the week ending Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 190,000
- If there are at least 190,000 initial jobless claims for the week ending Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 195,000
- If there are at least 195,000 initial jobless claims for the week ending Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 200,000
- If there are at least 200,000 initial jobless claims for the week ending Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 205,000
- If there are at least 205,000 initial jobless claims for the week ending Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 210,000
- If there are at least 210,000 initial jobless claims for the week ending Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 170,000
- If there are at least 170,000 initial jobless claims for the week ending Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 175,000
- If there are at least 175,000 initial jobless claims for the week ending Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 215,000
- If there are at least 215,000 initial jobless claims for the week ending Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 220,000
- If there are at least 220,000 initial jobless claims for the week ending Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.