KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
At least 53 · —
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Stored price
At least 53 50%Market line of 8 lines
At least 53 50%Market quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$13
Low open interestBid / Ask
— / —
At least 53Spread
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Market data
Updated 41 minutes ago
Nov 2, 26, 6:00 PM UTCDec 1, 26, 2:59 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · At least 53
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Rules
If the headline PMI value in the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business for Nov 2026, as published by ISM (one decimal place), is at least 53, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ISM
Rules for each outcome
- At least 53
- If the headline PMI value in the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business for Nov 2026, as published by ISM (one decimal place), is at least 53, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 54
- If the headline PMI value in the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business for Nov 2026, as published by ISM (one decimal place), is at least 54, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 55
- If the headline PMI value in the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business for Nov 2026, as published by ISM (one decimal place), is at least 55, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 56
- If the headline PMI value in the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business for Nov 2026, as published by ISM (one decimal place), is at least 56, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 57
- If the headline PMI value in the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business for Nov 2026, as published by ISM (one decimal place), is at least 57, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 58
- If the headline PMI value in the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business for Nov 2026, as published by ISM (one decimal place), is at least 58, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 59
- If the headline PMI value in the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business for Nov 2026, as published by ISM (one decimal place), is at least 59, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 52
- If the headline PMI value in the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business for Nov 2026, as published by ISM (one decimal place), is at least 52, then the market resolves to Yes.